However, an ally of Cheney insisted to National Review that her political team isn’t worried about the polls. It is difficult to poll in Wyoming since it is a heavily rural state; further, in Wyoming, Democrats and Republicans can switch parties to vote in the other party’s primaries, in what is known as “crossover voting.” This year, allies of Trump unsuccessfully lobbied Wyoming legislators to ban crossover voting, presumably in an effort to hurt Cheney’s chances of reelection. According to Wyoming law, voters must be affiliated with the political party to vote in that party’s primary. However, a voter can change affiliation even on the day of the primary. Currently, there are 197,868 registered Republicans in the state of Wyoming, 44,643 registered Democrats, and 35,324 registered independents. To win the Wyoming congressional primary, a candidate only needs to win a plurality of the vote. If non-Republican voters switch to Republican to vote in the primary, they may give Cheney a boost on August 16.

A conservative Republican, Cheney voted with Trump 92.9 percent of the time, making her departure from the Trump wing of the party all the more noteworthy. The Wyoming representative also holds a 77 percent score with Heritage Action for America. Cheney is running on energy, state land, and other policies that matter to voters, according to the Cheney ally, who claims that the representative’s reelection prospects do not factor into what she believes is her constitutional duty to serve on the committee.