"[T]he best position for Republicans ... in any midterm cycle in over 80 years"

“If you’re a Republican running for re-election, or trying to unseat a Democrat, things are looking pretty good, right?” Tapper asked Enten. The latter responded:

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I would say they’re looking very good from the historical context. Basically, I took the best Republican positions on the generic congressional ballot at this point in midterm cycles since 1938, that generic ballot basically is, “Would you vote for the generic Republican or generic Democrat in your district?”

And guess what, since 1938, the Republican two-point lead on the generic congressional ballot is the best position for Republicans at this point in any midterm cycle in over 80 years. It beats 2010, when Republicans were up a point.

Enten noted in 2010, Republicans held a one-point advantage and took the House by storm. He pointed out in 1998, 2002 and 2014, Democrats held a one-point generic ballot advantage. Each time, Republicans took the House majority.

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