I think David McCormick is a wiser choice in Pennsylvania than Kathy Barnette. Both are real Republicans and actual conservatives and not huckster frauds like Mehmet Oz. I think Herschel Walker has so much baggage that he is an enormous lift for voters to get into office, especially when any of the other Georgia Republican senate candidates would be easier to get across the finish line.

But don’t think any of them cannot win.

About the only Republican this year who probably cannot win is Eric Grietens and that’s only because he is a sexual predator and awful human being. Nonetheless, this year is so bad for Democrats that he might pull it off too.

We have not seen a political environment for an incumbent this bad since 1980. Even 2010 was not as bad for Obama as 2022 is for Biden — but 2010 saw massive losses for Democrats. One must go back from 2010 to the 1890’s to find comparable damage done to an incumbent party from the federal level all the way to the local level and 2022 is shaping up to be worse for the incumbent party than 2010.