Why it matters: The progressive politics that mainstream Democrats blame for their decline stand to take center stage if both trendlines hold. And the Squad-Plus would be positioned to push the diluted ranks of its rivals into backing some of its agenda — impacting the 2024 presidential race.

State of play: As many as six staunchly progressive candidates have viable chances to win House seats this cycle…

Between the lines: Far from being chastened by any current Democratic losses, progressives would be inspired for future gains for their bloc.

“In 10 years, a lot more of Congress is going to look like the Squad,” Karthik Ganapathy of Left Flank Strategies, a political consultancy supporting left-wing candidates, told Axios.

“This is where our politics is headed. Not just as Democrats — as a country.”