Does Ukraine have the four factors that go into a successful insurgency?

It has a strong leader in Volodymyr Zelensky. He is approaching legendary status in these early days of the war for both his bravery and eloquence.

It has outside help, too, coming from the U.S. and many other nations, both in terms of economic sanctions and weaponry. Weapons so far include anti-tank rockets and even fighter jets. The prospect of direct military intervention remains remote at this time.

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Ukraine’s territory is muddy in spring, bogging down tanks and other heavy Russian equipment. But it is not particularly mountainous, and forests only occupy 15 percent of the nation. There’s also no desert to speak of, all making a successful insurgency more difficult.

Finally, there is the question of just how far the Russians are willing to go in terms of killing.

And that we simply don’t know.

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