Democrats are staring down an electoral catastrophe

How bad is it for Democrats? Consider where the generic ballot stood in ABC/Post polling taken just before other recent midterm elections:

2018: D+7 on generic ballot (Democrats won a net of 40 House seats)

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2014: D+3 (Democrats lost a net of 13 seats)

2010: D+5 (Democrats lost a net of 64 seats)

2006: D+13 (Democrats won a net of 31 seats)

What’s clear is that when the Democratic edge is five points or less on the generic ballot, the party has experienced major seat losses in midterm elections.

Now consider what the House playing field might look like with a Republican edge of seven points on the generic ballot.

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