By the numbers: David “I’ve Seen Enough” Wasserman of Cook Political Report calculates that on Tuesday, Republican candidates for New Jersey State Senate outperformed the seats’ 2020 Biden/Trump results by a median 10.8 points.

In races for Virginia’s House of Delegates, where Rs punctuated Youngkin’s win by taking the majority, the GOP topped 2020 by a median 12.4 points.

Here’s how big that is: “[]f Republicans were to outperform the 2020 Biden/Trump margin by 10.8 points (New Jersey) in all 435 House seats in 2022, they would pick up 44 House seats for a 257R-178D majority,” Wasserman writes.

“If they were to outperform by 12.3 points (Virginia), they would pick up a mammoth 51 seats for a 261R-174D split — and that’s not even factoring redistricting, which could help boost GOP fortunes even more.”