In the latest Trafalgar Group survey of 1,095 likely election voters, Youngkin is in the lead by a hair for the first time, 48.4% to 47.5%.
While well within the poll’s 2.96 percentage point margin of error, it is the latest sign that the deflated McAuliffe campaign is sinking fast, threatening his chance at history by becoming a rare former governor elected again in the state that bars back-to-back terms in the office.
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McAuliffe has admitted that Biden’s troubles are a hurdle in his race. He once said he’d welcome Biden on the campaign trail every day, but now he’s reaching out instead to former President Barack Obama.
In the poll, 58% disapprove of Biden, 51.7% “strongly.”
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