As Democrats go hard left, Hispanics head to the center

From the exit polls, we also know that, contrary to popular belief, the majority of Hispanics are not Democrats. In the 2020 election, party ID among Hispanics was 48 percent Democrat, 20 percent Republican and 32 percent independent, presenting a real opportunity for Republicans going forward. The data also shows that ideology is one of the driving factors behind Hispanics’ positioning in the middle. Forty-three percent of these voters, according to the exit polls, self-identified as moderates, the largest group, followed by conservatives at 32 percent and liberals at 25 percent. By comparison, Democratic self-identification broke down as 46 percent liberal, 43 percent moderate and 10 percent conservative, meaning Democrats identify as liberal over conservative by 36 points. But ideologically, that’s not where independents and Hispanics are. Overall, independent voters identify as conservative over liberal by 14 points; Hispanics identify as conservative over liberal by 7 points. The more moderate viewpoints of many Hispanic voters in contrast with Democratic liberals is reflected in their views on key issues as well. In our June 7-10 Winning the Issues survey, Hispanic respondents told us that jobs and the economy were their biggest concern by far, at 36 percent, outdistancing the next two issues, immigration (14 percent) and health care (8 percent).
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