But the bigger threat to Republicans nationally in a post-Roe America is the reaction in the Sun Belt state. Earlier this month, CNN’s Ron Brownstein took a close look at the changing Sun Belt. He found that “Whites without college degrees have declined as a share of the electorate since 2004 in every major swing state,” but more so in the Sun Belt states, which are experiencing robust population growth. Biden’s breakthrough Arizona and Georgia wins were helped by “a growing minority population coupled with enough improvement among college-educated White voters to overcome big GOP margins among Whites without college degrees.” These demographic shifts can be found in other key Sun Belt states where Biden fell short, namely North Carolina and Texas. FiveThirtyEight’s Elena Mejía and Geoffrey Skelley tracked where Biden made inroads, “In Texas, for instance, Biden became the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry Tarrant County (Fort Worth) since 1964, and in North Carolina, he improved on Clinton’s margins in the two most populous counties in the state, Mecklenburg (Charlotte) and Wake (Raleigh). He even carried some suburban and exurban counties that Trump won in 2016, such as Williamson County outside of Austin, Texas, and New Hanover County, North Carolina (Wilmington).” How rapidly are some of these states changing? The data analysts at Catalist determined that a whopping 36 percent of Arizona voters in 2020 did not vote in the state in 2016. In Texas, that figure is 34 percent and in Georgia, 32 percent.