How often will you need your "vaccine passport"?

God only knows how far some people will take this, especially with the government facilitating it. Just for fun, though, I’ll hazard a prediction: We won’t use these very often.

People are going to find it annoying to have their health records checked, imposing a cost on businesses that choose to do it. There are certain high-risk settings, such as nursing homes and cruise ships, where it might make sense for a while, but otherwise it won’t be worth the trouble.

Between the vaccines and natural immunity, COVID-19 is (hopefully) on its way out. Daily deaths in the U.S. are below 1,000 and trending downward. The fewer deaths we have, the less helpful it will seem to aggressively — and at the cost of great inconvenience and intrusion — screen out the unvaccinated.