Why Trump is already the 2024 GOP frontrunner

In other words, no losing president in the polling era left the White House with more goodwill from his party’s potential primary electorate than Trump will.

Additionally, the little 2024 primary polling that has been published since the election shows Trump as the frontrunner.

He’s averaging about half the primary vote with no else cracking 20%.

To be sure, that may not deter other candidates from going for the nomination. It in no way guarantees he’ll be the 2024 Republican nominee for president. We are still in 2020, for goodness sake.

Still, no other candidate who eventually ran and was polling as well as Trump at this point has lost his or her party’s primary. In fact, the other two candidates to be polling at the levels Trump is polling and took the plunge were Al Gore in 2000 and Hillary Clinton in 2016.