We’ve seen this horror movie before.

Biden’s average polling lead today is smaller than Clinton’s was at a similar point in 2016 in Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Ohio. It’s slightly larger than Clinton’s lead was in North Carolina. And, of course, for what it’s worth (not much), his lead is significantly larger than Clinton’s was in the national polls.

Here are a couple of other data points to shatter any complacency Democrats might be feeling and to boost any flagging spirits in Republicans.

In Minnesota, which some now consider to be a battleground state, Clinton held an 8-point lead in mid-October 2016 polling, similar to the 6.6-point lead Biden now holds. Clinton ended up winning Minnesota by just 1.5 percentage points.