Poll: Suburbs and the safety wedge

“What jumps out at me from the data is a clear connection between anxiety around security and support for Trump over Biden,” says SurveyMonkey chief research officer Jon Cohen.

By the numbers: White suburban women who feel “very safe” prefer Biden by about a 20 percentage-point margin, the survey finds. Biden’s lead disappears among white suburban women who say they feel only “somewhat safe.”

The very small subgroup of white suburban women who say they feel not so safe or not at all safe prefer Trump by 10 percentage points.

Trump leads with white suburban men across each of those groups — but the margin jumps dramatically, from a five-point lead over Biden with those men who feel “very safe” in their communities, to a 24-point lead for Trump with those who feel only “somewhat safe.”