"The whole concept of 'blue wall' states is kind of over"

But to a substantial degree, what’s happening in America’s suburbs right now is about how those old understandings of suburban women are wrong. What polling shows, and what demographers are noticing, is that America’s suburbs are growing and becoming more diverse. And that is contributing to a massive political shift that is remaking the electoral map in lasting ways.

“The whole concept of ‘Blue Wall’ states is kind of over because of these suburban shifts,” said Anna Greenberg, the Democratic pollster whose research often centers around suburban women voters. “Certain states are more in play for Biden specifically because of the suburbs. I’m thinking about Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. In some ways, those states are almost better opportunities than a place like Wisconsin.”…

The suburban political shift, in her view, also adds a risk for Republicans even after Trump leaves office.

“If Trump loses, that Trump base is still the majority of the Republican Party, and I’m going to guess that he is going to play, like, a movement leader role after he leaves office,” she said. With a post-White House Trump occupying that space as a movement leader and omnipresent media figure—and suburban voters turned off by his divisive political style—“he will still be the center of power in the Republican Party, even if he’s out of office. And I don’t know how the Republicans are going to navigate that.”