Because the opinions were so wildly divergent, I’m hesitant to draw any broad conclusions from the two groups around how Trump’s law-and-order message could potentially resonate with suburban swing voters. But I will venture two observations:
(1) There are swing voters for whom his divisiveness on race is a liability—and there are those for whom it is an asset.
(2) The North Carolina group knew relatively little about Kenosha while the Arizona group was much more familiar with the media coverage from Wisconsin. It is possible that the events in Kenosha could be an inflection point for swing voters.
If this is the case, then Kenosha could be the message Trump has been grasping for ever since the killing of George Floyd. It could be the case which finally lets Trump pry swing voters away from Biden.