Democrats, it's too soon to cheer Trump's defeat

[A]fter everything that has happened since the death of George Floyd, including the president’s repeated demonization of Black Lives Matter protesters and embrace of racist symbols, Biden is exactly where Clinton was with Black voters — holding a majority of their support — and is running less well with Latinos. Biden’s margin over Trump is 14 points less than Clinton’s was — not exactly a reassuring reality for us Democrats…

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Polls conducted over the summer can be unreflective of the general election’s outcome. Recall that in July 1988, then-Vice President George H. W. Bush was trailing Michael Dukakis by 17 points and went on to win the election by eight points that November…

More than any issue voters choose a president on the state of the economy — and this is the one place where Trump remains strong. According to a Gallup poll, about half of the country approves of his handling of the economy.

The New York Times/ Siena College poll also shows that in battleground states, Trump’s economic approval number is 56% — hardly an argument for showing him the door.

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