Testing remains scarce as governors weigh reopening states

The three-phase White House plan, Opening Up America Again, does not detail a national testing strategy or provide numerical benchmarks for how much testing is necessary. It says states should have a “downward trajectory of positive tests” or a “downward trajectory of documented cases” over two weeks, while conducting robust contact tracing and “sentinel surveillance” testing of asymptomatic people in vulnerable populations, such as nursing homes.

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Congress is pushing the administration to give states more guidance. The $484 billion relief package passed last week included $25 billion to expand testing and required the administration to come up with a strategic testing plan to support the states.

In the meantime, a flurry of research groups, professors and other experts have stepped in with proposals. On the low end, the liberal Center for American Progress estimates that eight-tenths of one percent of the national population must be tested each week to contain the virus. On the high end, a group from Harvard has put the figure at as much as 21 percent.

Most states — including Georgia, where nonessential businesses have been allowed to start reopening — fall far short of even the lowest estimates.

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