It’s a particularly urgent question here in Minnesota, which Trump nearly won in 2016. There’s been a lot of discussion about whether this or that bellwether congressional district offers critical insight into which party will win. The special thing about Minnesota is that it has four, and perhaps even five, such races, all in one state. In two, the 1st District and the 8th, there is a good possibility Republicans will grab seats currently held by Democrats — a pretty rare occurrence in this political climate. In another, the 7th, there is a long-shot chance of a GOP win. In two others, the 2nd and 3rd, there is a solid possibility Democrats — in Minnesota, the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party — will pick up seats currently held by Republicans.
Trump is a presence in each district and in each campaign — but not necessarily the same Trump. In some races, Trump is the Trump of the daily commotion on cable TV and the Internet — the president who, according to his many detractors, writes outrageous tweets, dog-whistles bigotry, and is increasingly cornered by the Russia investigation.
But in other races, there is an entirely different Trump at work. That Trump is the president who is making the economy better by cutting regulations that handicapped local mining, logging, and manufacturing. That Trump is a president protecting not just individual industries and incomes but a way of life.
It’s not clear which Trump will be more influential on election day.
Join the conversation as a VIP Member