The new poll, which was commissioned by nonpartisan news agency Missouri Scout and conducted between October 24 and 25 by GOP polling group Remington Research, shows Hawley leading McCaskill by four percentage points, 49 percent to 45 percent, with three percent undecided and three third-party candidates pulling in one percent each. The poll surveyed more than 1,300 likely voters across the state, and the margin of error was 2.6 points.

“The Claire McCaskill campaign right now reminds me of every well-funded losing campaign I’ve worked on,” Remington Research President Titus Bond tweeted on Thursday.

These numbers look great for Hawley, who has been inching upward on McCaskill for months following a brutal start to 2018.