Could Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal have cost Trump the 2016 election?

Trump’s margin of victory in Pennsylvania was 44,292 votes. In Wisconsin, his margin was 22,748 votes. In Michigan it was 10,704 votes. That’s a total of margin of victory of 77,744 votes. The total number of voters in 2016 was 128,838,342, meaning that if 0.03 percent of voters had changed their mind, the result would have been different. What sort of factors can move 0.03 percent of the electorate on any given day? Literally anything. The weather, the traffic on the way to work, what they had for breakfast. As Ian Malcolm would put it, when you’re talking about 0.03 percent of the vote, then a butterfly could flap its wings in Peking and in America you get President Hillary.

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Could the revelations that Trump had been banging it out with a porn star and a playmate as his wife was recovering from childbirth have changed the outcome of the election? Absolutely.

Think of it this way: Karl Rove has always maintained that his data suggested that the revelation of a 24-year-old DUI cost George W. Bush 5 million votes in 2000, which would have been 5 percent of the electorate. Anyone who says that the Daniels-McDougal stories couldn’t have cost Trump the White House is either unserious, or trying to sell you something.

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