Despite his bumpy first 90 days, Trump can claim credit for boosting GOP turnout to healthy midterm levels. The president isn’t particularly popular in this district—Republican polling pegged his favorability just slightly above water—but he helped rally the rank and file. He can now boast that he stopped Ossoff from getting a quick ticket to Congress. All told, it doesn’t look as if many typical Republican voters—even those who don’t care for Trump—were inclined to vote for a Democrat to send a message.
If there’s anything that should concern Democrats, it’s that they know what they’re against but not what they’re for. They’ve mastered the art of mobilization in the age of Trump, but are still struggling to persuade winnable voters. Ossoff’s campaign ads struck all the right notes, portraying him as a fiscal conservative and a pragmatist who’s tough on national security. But on the stump, Ossoff never articulated much beyond bland Democratic talking points.
With their pumped-up base, Democrats should have a productive midterm election. But to capture a House majority, they’ll need to pick off Republican-friendly seats with candidates who can reassure GOP-leaning voters with a moderate message. Balancing the energy of the progressive activists with that sort of pragmatism won’t be an easy task. It can get Democrats close to a majority, but like Ossoff, they could end up falling short by only being part of the Trump opposition.
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