With health-bill failure, Ryan may be on Pelosi's midterm path

It is, of course, too early to tell. For one thing, Democrats face an uphill battle with the math – they need to pick up 24 seats – and the map is against them. Also, the midterms are still 18 months away, compared to 2010 when the election took place a mere eight months after the Affordable Care Act passed.

But the history of midterm elections is on the Democrats’ side. Their party took the House back two years after President Eisenhower swept the GOP into power with his White House victory. Republicans snatched it back in 1994, two years after Bill Clinton became president. Democrats returned again in 2006, six years after George W. Bush came to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, before Republicans won in 2010, two years after Obama was first elected…

The first test for both parties will be in the special election for Georgia’s 6th Congressional District seat. Tom Price won with 62 percent of the vote in 2016 before leaving to become the secretary of Health and Human Services. But Trump only won it by 1.5 percent thanks to a large swath of college-educated voters who broke for Hillary Clinton.

All eyes are now on the district to see if Republicans can hold it. The first round of voting takes place on April 18 and, if no candidate receives more than 50 percent, the top two candidates advance to a June 20 runoff.