Is the GOP better off politically if the health bill doesn’t pass?

Margot Sanger-Katz, who covers health care for The Upshot, and Nate Cohn, The Upshot’s elections analyst, talked about the coming vote on the Republican health care plan. Here’s a lightly edited transcript of their written exchange.

Nate House Republicans are hoping to pass their plan to replace Obamacare on Thursday, but, for now, it’s not clear they have the votes. According to The Times’s count, there are 22 Republicans who say they won’t support the bill, and another 17 leaning toward no. That’s more than the 21 Republicans that they can afford to lose.