GOP’s Obamacare replacement could cost the average poor family benefits worth a third of its income

Through changes to taxes and health benefits, the GOP bill would reverse that: In 2022, an average family making less than $50,000 a year would stand to lose federal benefits, while those that made more would gain — with the biggest winners and the biggest losers at the extremes, according to the report by the Urban Institute and the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center. The average family making less than $10,000 a year could expect to lose $1,420 under the plan; the average family making more than $200,000 could gain $5,640…

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Avik Roy, a former adviser to Republican presidential candidates Mitt Romney and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), argued that the analysis did not take into account the potential benefits from an improved economy if Obamacare were repealed. “If you have a lot more economic growth, that can help everybody,” Roy said. “It’s important to recognize that there are other factors at play here, and economic growth being one very significant factor.”

Republicans pointed out that for some families, their plan would be an improvement on Obamacare. The GOP bill “ensures all Americans have access to health care—including those low- and middle-income families who were left behind by Obamacare’s flawed subsidy structure and collapsing marketplace,” said Lauren Blair Aronson, the Republican press secretary for the House Ways and Means Committee, in a statement.

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