In Pennsylvania, Clinton’s lead over Trump is 12 points among likely voters, 49 percent to 37 percent, with Johnson at 6 percent and Stein at 4 percent. Her advantage is an identical 12 points in a two-way contest, 51 percent to 39 percent.

Both polls were conducted before Friday’s bombshell release of audio of Trump speaking in 2005 about groping and kissing women.

It would be virtually impossible for Trump to win the White House if he loses both states, especially Florida.

“In terms of pathways to 270 [electoral votes], it’s hard to see how Trump can win the White House without carrying this state,” says Lee Miringoff, director of Marist College’s Institute for Public Opinion.