In an attempt to decide which way these voters would go, we followed up the vote-intention question with this one: “Is there any chance you would vote for Donald Trump?” and, in a separate question, “Is there any chance you would vote for Hillary Clinton?”

Voters who stated an intention to vote for a candidate were committed; of those saying they intended to vote for Hillary Clinton, only 6 percent said that they were still considering Donald Trump, while only 4 percent of Trump intenders were considering Clinton. This makes sense in the current political environment, especially considering each candidate’s deeply personal attacks on the other. Decided voters of both parties, and Independents who have declared themselves, are simply unlikely to reconsider their votes for Trump and Clinton.

But what about those who say they are voting for a third party, those committed not to vote, and those who are undecided? Can Trump gain among these cohorts? We specifically asked these voters, over one-third of the respondents, “If you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you rather have as president?” The overall results were Hillary Clinton 32 percent, Donald Trump 28 percent, with 40 percent not sure.