Still, Reeher cautioned that “the numbers could change quite a bit” between now and Election Day.

So far at least, Clinton’s supporters are optimistic about her prospects.

“I’m comforted by the numbers, comforted by the Republicans coming over to our side and comforted that he’s handing us some minor victories because he keeps stepping in it,” said one longtime Clinton friend.

The friend and other Clinton allies say they would have been in a worse spot in this election cycle had Republicans nominated a different candidate.

“I felt before the race really began that Jeb Bush, and to some extent Marco Rubio, would be the toughest opponent, and I do think if you swapped out either one of them today, it would be a very tight race,” said one longtime Clinton adviser.