May 3: Indiana (57 delegates)
May 3 is one of the most critical dates left on the GOP primary calendar. Will two weeks of Trump victories on the East Coast give him momentum as the race returns to the Midwest, or will Cruz be able to re-create his Wisconsin victory? The answer will go a long way in determining whether Trump can be stopped.
Indiana will award 30 of its delegates to the winner of the statewide vote. The remaining 27 delegates will be divvied up among congressional districts and awarded on a winner-take-all basis.
There haven’t been any public polls of Indiana, but the state’s demographics and political culture suggest Cruz is the slight favorite. One complicating factor is whether John Kasich remains in the race. The favorite son of Ohio, next door, Kasich could enjoy enough regional popularity to split Indiana’s anti-Trump vote with Cruz, handing the state to Trump.
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