Maryland: Trump 41, Kasich 31, Cruz 22

While the 10-point margin bodes well for Trump, it is not statistically significant given the survey’s sample size of 283 likely Republican voters.

Kasich, who has only won his home state, has been banking on a strong showing in northeastern states to show he’s a serious candidate. He leads among Maryland college graduates with 43 percent, ahead of Trump’s 28 percent and Cruz’s 23 percent support. In 2012, 56 percent of Maryland’s GOP primary voters had college degrees, one of the highest shares in the nation.

Trump is buoyed by support from Republicans without college degrees, leading with 51 percent among this group compared to Kasich’s 22 percent and Cruz’s 21 percent.