Poll: New data reveals late shift away from Trump in SC, but not enough to deny him a win

If we apply these switch rates to our previous results, here is how we would now estimate the vote split in today’s primary:

Donald Trump: 36%
Ted Cruz: 23%
Marco Rubio: 21%
John Kasich: 8%
Jeb Bush: 4%
Other: 7%
No preference: 0%

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