Republican voters actually aren’t divided into ‘establishment’ and ‘outsider’ camps

Given this year’s crowded Republican presidential field, one of the most important questions is who else people would be willing to vote for if their preferred candidate drops out of the race. To better understand this, we asked likely Republican primary voters some unique questions in a new national poll.

What we found is surprising: There is no clear contest between the “establishment” candidates, such as Jeb Bush or Marco Rubio, and “outsiders,” such as Donald Trump, Ben Carson or Carly Fiorina. The campaign isn’t creating polarized camps of Republican voters.

In this poll, we asked Republicans to indicate all the candidates that they would be willing to vote for in their state’s primary or caucus. We then asked them to rank these candidates.