It will take a lot of Hispanic voters to turn Texas purple

While much has been made of the potential of Democrats to turn Southwestern states blue by turning out Hispanic voters, the partnership graphic shows how hard this might be. To flip Texas from red to purple in 2020, you have to assume historically high turnout of Hispanic and Asian-American voters with Republicans getting less than the 26% support that Mitt Romney got from these voters in 2012.

Nevertheless, the graphic also shows how even a modest boost in Hispanic and Asian turnout would put swing states like Wisconsin and Nevada out of reach for Republicans if the party does not significantly improve its performance with these voters.