First, never underestimate the power of incumbency, as witnessed to by the last three presidents’ having won reelection.Throughout our history, in the 32 presidential elections in which an incumbent was on the ballot, 22 have won. This translates into a 68.7 reelection rate.
Second, it is entirely plausible that President Obama could have rallied his loyal voter coalition for a third time. And why not, considering that in 2012 he won reelection with a whopping 332 electoral votes, in spite of a bad economy and his own unpopular policies.
However (and we should be thankful for this), because of the action taken by the 1947 Republican Congress, pundits are reduced to talking about Hillary’s winning her husband’s and her former boss’s third terms, as opposed to our country potentially having to experience the real thing. (Raise your hand if you think Obama would run again if he could.)
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