“To win, she’s got to get around 30 percent of the white vote,” said Robert Mann, a Louisiana State University professor who spent much of his career in Democratic politics. “That’s just an enormous increase … I don’t see any evidence that she can increase the black turnout enough to offset that.”
In an attempt to win back socially-conservative Catholics, many of whom have a history of voting for Democrats because they embrace the church’s social gospel message, Landrieu has been running newspaper ads in Cajun country touting her opposition to partial-birth abortion.
Cassidy is focused on wooing the 19 percent of white voters who backed Maness in the primary. He’s employing a host of national surrogates: Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) came Monday, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) sent an endorsement email and Sarah Palin is coming Saturday. Others, such as Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) are lining up to help.
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