“I’d imagine the predominant view of 2016ers will be to advocate for states rights and there will be a libertarian strain that argues government should be out of the marriage business altogether,” said one senior Republican operative granted anonymity to speak candidly about political positioning on the issue. “Looking at recent elections there’s not a lot of evidence marriage is an animating issue for campaigns on the right.”

The presumed frontrunner in the 2016 GOP presidential field, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, released a long statement that called the Court decisions a “serious mistake,” adding: “I recognize that the definition of marriage and the legal status of same-sex relationships is a deeply personal and emotional issue for Americans of a variety of viewpoints….I believe that marriage is a unique historical institution best defined as the union between one man and one woman.”

That’s a heavily nuanced statement that, at the end of the day will be boiled down in a presidential campaign to Rubio opposing same sex marriage.