Iowa: Perry 29, Bachmann 18, Romney 17, Paul 14

However, just 27 % of all likely Iowa caucus goers are certain of how they will vote. That leaves plenty of room for opinions to shift, particularly if new candidates enter the race. Perry has entered the race on top but has yet to face a debate or other serious campaign testing from his competitors. That will change with a large number of candidate forums scheduled during the month of September.

Eighty percent (80%) of likely Iowa caucus goers think it’s at least Somewhat Likely that the Republican nominee will defeat Obama. That includes 56% who say it’s Very Likely.