Barack Obama’s not very popular right now and I think if we took an up or down vote on keeping him as President today he’d probably lose. But that’s not how it works and our data indicates that the better voters know his possible Republican opponents the better Obama starts looking to them in comparison. And we already saw from Tuesday night that GOP voters aren’t willing to sacrifice principle for electability these days so Obama might just luck out by the conservative Republican base nominating someone that moderate independents and Republicans can’t live with even if they dislike Obama.