South Carolina: Haley 43, Barrett 23, McMaster 16, Bauer 12

Two weeks ago Haley held a 21 point lead in the race. Since then she’s gained 4 points, Barrett’s standing has improved by 7, McMaster’s has dropped by a couple points, and Bauer’s gone down a single point.

Only 13% of voters believe the allegations about Haley’s marital infidelity. 54% flat out do not believe them and 33% are unsure. Haley will, however, be in trouble with voters if they ever are proven. In that case 42% think she should drop out of the race.