Poll: Romney leads in Illinois, Pennsylvania

Romney’s leads in most of these early polls are following a similar formula: break even with conservatives while racking up a large lead with moderates. In Pennsylvania Palin actually leads Romney 31-28 with conservatives, but Romney’s 39-20 margin over her with moderates gives him the overall advantage. In Illinois Romney’s only up 33-30 with conservatives on Huckabee, but his 38-26 lead with moderates allows him to double his early edge.

The other theme showing in most of these early polls is that Romney is very strong with senior citizens. He’s up 9 points on Huckabee and 12 on Palin with them in Pennsylvania, and in Illinois it’s 11 on Huckabee and 13 on Palin.