President Palin's long odds

“It’s a very steep climb,” Bowman replied, “if her negatives are what they are now, you have to be able to win independents.”

This is the cold irony of Palin’s star. Palin is losing stature with the very voters she champions: moderate and conservative Americans.

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The atmospherics of the next presidential campaign do suit Palin. It’s a cycle for outsider candidates. It will be more of a base election than 2008. But Palin will face trouble here too…

Remember the question that once dogged Hillary Clinton: was she “too polarizing” to be president? Innumerable Republicans argued yes. Even Obama later inferred so much. But at the time, 2005 and 2006, Clinton’s favorability ratings were in the low to mid 50s.

Starkly put, Palin today faces the worst hurdles of both Clinton and Quayle combined.

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