Is gay marriage still "inevitable"?

“There’s a lot of things that go along with support for same-sex marriage – attitudes such as awareness that people are born gay,” said Feldman. Young voters’ “underlying attitudes about gay people and gay rights are very different” from older voters, she said.

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Many Republican analysts privately agree.

“It’s only a matter of time,” said a prominent Republican pollster, who declined to be named for stating a view that runs contrary to those of many of his clients. “Once the dam bursts, which is going to happen, it’s a process that won’t be stopped.”

And that sense of a building flood is part of the reason that the recent setbacks have prompted no serious evaluation of the goals of the gay rights movement, and no discussion of backing off a totemic issue – though one which some gay leaders, like Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.), have long argued should be postponed for more practical fights. If anything, the energy and money of the gay rights movement are directed toward more energetic, more confrontational tactics; civil disobedience, Mixner suggested, will become more common in 2010.

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