Five reasons why NY-23 won't tell us anything

A year is a long time in American politics. In November, 2008 Barack Obama won the presidency of the United States. A year prior, he was trailing Hillary Clinton badly and under fire from his own supporters for not wasting his money as HRC was. A year before that, few people even knew who he was. In November, 1991 George H.W. Bush’s job approval stood at 62%. A year later a folksy governor from Arkansas had unseated him. In November, 1928 Herbert Hoover was elected to the third consecutive Republican landslide in what really looked to be an enduring majority. A year later…well, you get the idea.