Poll: 25% say they'd definitely vote to reelect Obama in 2012

On balance, the majority of Americans nationwide say they would be inclined to vote for Obama in the 2012 presidential election: 53% say they would definitely or probably vote for him while 37% say they definitely or probably would not. Another 9% offer no opinion. This is based on people’s early impressions about Obama, with no references to who his Republican opponent might be…

A similar question asked about then-President Bill Clinton in June 1994 and January 1995 found less than half of Americans in each survey saying they would definitely or probably vote to re-elect him in 1996. Only 11% in both surveys said they would definitely vote for him while a third or more said they would definitely not vote for him. However, Clinton’s concurrent approval ratings were less than 50%, far lower than Obama’s is today.