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Will 2024 end up being (insert GOP nominee here) versus Kamala Harris?

AP Photo/Abbie Parr

At the risk of coming across as ageist, I’ve been looking at the machinations the Democratic Party have employed in New Hampshire, avoiding the nation’s first in the nation primary so that Joe Biden, who could never win there, wouldn’t be embarrassed. Instead, the DNC has declared that South Carolina would go first for the Democrats, being that’s a more representative state. The only problem with that is that it’s very unlikely there will even be a primary election in South Carolina. If past is prologue, they will deem Biden the winner as an incumbent just like the GOP did with Donald Trump in 2020.

I’ve also been looking at the actuarial tables. An 80-year old man right now has a 6.5% chance of dying in the next year, and those odds go up each year. If Joe Biden survives through a proposed second term, his chance of dying during his last year is 12%. That’s about a one-in-eight chance. The tables also show that of 100,000 people Biden’s age, only 45,400 are still amongst the living. The rest are now registered Illinois voters. By the time Joe Biden would hanging it up in January of 2029, three out of four people born in the same year would have passed on.

And then you look at the energy, stamina, and performing abilities of Joseph Robinette Biden, and anyone with eyes to see or ears to hear know that he is in decline. Very noticeable since he took office, and that decline has only compounded since then-candidate Biden in 2020 when compared to the days of Biden as Vice President. So why go into all this? Because for this election cycle, something that is often claimed, but really isn’t a factor, really will be a factor – the other person on the ticket.

The Vice Presidency is a Constitutionally-delegated job largely consisting of irrelevance. I’ll bet you that even if you’re astute on politics, you can’t go back very far and name all the vice presidents back to World War II. With few exceptions, they haven’t mattered. Harry Truman, Lyndon Johnson, Gerald Ford, they mattered, because the moment nobody really expected to happen happened and they were thrust into the Oval Office. Voters never cast their ballot for who the VP is, yet every cycle, once the primaries are decided, there is a manufactured jolt to the challenger’s campaign right before the convention when the VP selection is announced and the new campaign logo and slogan are revealed. It’s much ado about nothing, however, as people still vote for president. The Vice President is the salad that comes along with the entrée that no one actually enjoys.

This time, however, with the elevated chance that Biden won’t make it all the way through, a point that even Karine Jean-Pierre fumbled on the day of the reelect campaign’s announcement.



She had to clean that up later in the day, but the point is even the liberal media knows the deal with Biden’s age, and they can’t ignore it. During Biden’s rarer than a blue Moon presser Wednesday, his age was directly challenged.



So will 2024 actually be a cycle where Kamala Harris, who is featured all through Biden’s announcement video, is really on the minds of voters heading into the booth? Conventional wisdom among Democrats says that yes, Biden’s too old, but he’s probably going to face a rematch against Trump, and Trump’s negatives are high enough that we Democrats like our chances. Does that equation change if people think it one step further and say we may not like who the Republicans are offering up, but are we really wanting to hand the reins of power over to someone we didn’t like enough in 2020 that her own presidential campaign imploded before the Iowa caucus?

The gag reels of Harris gaffes are as long, and maybe even longer than Joe Biden’s, and that’s probably Harris’ greatest accomplishment. That’s no mean feat to be a bigger embarrassment than Biden that consistently in a much shorter time on the national stage. Here’s just a sample of one of her staples in a speech, regardless of the problem she’s addressing.



Are voters really going to burden themselves with a potential Harris presidency, knowing Biden’s got one leg in the grave and the other on a proverbial banana peel? My fear is seeing President Kamala Harris presiding over a United States unburdened by being the world’s superpower.

Harris thinks of herself as somewhat of a philosopher. Whenever she lapses into the deep thoughts part of any of her speeches, you know you’ve got YouTube gold ahead. Just this week, she was pandering to a pro-abortion crowd and waxed poetic about the many dimensions of time.



Now that’s incoherent nonsense. We’re used to that with Joe Biden, especially when he loses his place on the teleprompter. But in Harris’ case, this is scripted incoherent nonsense. She meant to be this obtuse. Nakedly empty and meaningless rhetoric isn’t a bug with Harris. It’s a feature. So is lying.



Jean-Pierre tried this line at her presser two days ago, and it wasn’t true then, either. There is no provision in Florida’s parental rights law that prevents teachers from having photos of their family on their desks or else. It’s just not in there. It’s demagogic and flat-out false. But she’s pandering and is in a moral-free zone, proclaiming freedom and liberty in front of a crowd that wants to come after you, even if you happen to be four hours away from being delivered into the world, with murderous intent, sharp objects, and a suction hose.

Tom Cotton on Twitter said it best Wednesday.

Indeed. I get the argument among many people in the Republican base that may have a problem with whomever the nominee ends up being, and that problem will allegedly keep them from voting in the fall of 2024. My hope is that despite that predisposition, again regardless of the eventual nominee, people will take a look at Kamala Harris as president, a very real second-order consequence of sitting 2024 out, and reconsider.

As for me looking at the prospects of Kamala Harris backing into the Oval Office, I actually take the counsel of…Kamala Harris.



We’re not havin’ that. We not playin’ that.

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