Last month, House Speaker John Boehner said that holding onto the House GOP majority will be a “real challenge,” remarking that there’s about “a 1-in-3 chance that we could lose.” His sentiments were likely designed to drum up a little urgency to encourage people to keep making donations more than anything else, but there is at least a possibility that Democrats could pick up the cool 25 seats they’d need to regain the majority. While the Democrats have still out-fundraised Republicans in this election cycle overall, it appears that the tables may be turning:
The GOP’s House campaign organization slightly outraised its Democratic counterpart in April and also ended the month with $2 million more in cash.
The National Republican Congressional Committee reported raising $6.9 million last month, outdistancing the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s $6.5 million. Though the margin is slim, it marks the first time in several months that Republicans bested Democrats in fundraising for House campaigns.
The GOP group also has more money in the bank: The NRCC reported having $31.3 million in cash on hand while the DCCC has $25 million. In April, the NRCC netted $4.2 million and the DCCC netted $2.2 million.
The Republicans can also have higher expectations of PAC money in the coming months, while the DNC and the Obama campaign have made it known in no uncertain terms that they don’t have any immediate plans to give money to Congressional Democrats.
Also last month, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi said that, because of Mitt Romney’s supposed campaign-related incompetence, she was “feeling better” about the Democrats’ chances of retaking the House. But, Mitt Romney’s campaigning can’t be all that bad, can it? He’s only been the presumptive nominee for some weeks now, and he’s already starting to haul in almost as much cash as the well-oiled Obama campaign:
Mitt Romney’s around-the-clock fundraising schedule seems to be paying off, literally.
Romney, with the help of the Republican National Committee, raised $40.1 million in April, nearly matching the $43 million raised by President Obama’s campaign and the Democratic National Committee in the same month, proving the strength of his fundraising campaign since essentially clinching the nomination. …
The April haul far exceeds the money the presumptive GOP nominee raised in March – $12.6 million – and clearly shows the boost the campaign got from joining forces with the RNC to develop a Victory Fund, which allows donors who have already maxed out to Romney to then give more money, and in larger amounts.
Heck, forget the money (okay, don’t actually forget the money) — one of Obama’s greatest strengths is his “coolness” or “likability” or something, but it turns out, Mitt Romney might not be quite as woefully unappealing as everybody supposed. He’s closing in on President Obama in terms of favorability ratings, too:
The best bit of news for Mitt Romney is that his Gallup favorability rating has just crested 50 percent, only 2 points behind the president. Better still, Romney’s negative rating is lower than Obama’s – 46 percent to 41 percent. Much of Romney’s 11-point rise since February can be attributed to the end of the bruising Republican primary process. Not only have Republicans coalesced, but the daily news cycle is no longer dominated by reporters gleefully repeating the latest attacks from Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich.
Maybe it’s not even the case that people are en masse liking Mitt Romney that much more, but that they’re liking Barack Obama less and less — Romney is quickly looking like a wildly acceptable alternative to the disenchanting, tired-out vision presented by President Obama.