Israel: 'Tehran Is No Longer Immune' UPDATE: Top Khamenei Aide Killed; UPDATE: 'Large Scale Strikes'

AP Photo/Leo Correa

The gloves are off. The question may well be why they were on to begin with.

In the breathtaking opening attack of the full-scale war between Israel and Iran, the IDF struck numerous targets with precision and multiplicity -- except the capital of Tehran. Aside from a a handful of carefully targeted strikes to take out military commanders, the IDF took care to avoid the densely populated capital, likely on the urging of the US. As a result, while the IDF decimated Iran's top military leadership and nuclear-weapons developers, they left the political structure unmolested within Tehran.

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After 24 hours of unrestricted ballistic-missile attacks on Israeli civilian population centers, that last bit of operational modesty has gone out the window. The IDF announced that it now has air superiority over Tehran after the missions last night successfully destroyed Iran's defenses of the city. The Israelis intend to use that superiority to its full extent:

“The dozens of aircraft are flying freely over Tehran, thanks to the opening blow that removed the threat of Iranian air defense systems,” he says.

Defrin says it is the deepest area in Iran that the IAF has operated in so far.

“Tehran is no longer immune; the capital is exposed to Israeli strikes,” he adds.

The people behind the strategic X account OSINT Defender drily note what this means:

Actually, that has been the obvious conclusion since the start of the operation. When Benjamin Netanyahu first spoke on early Friday morning (local time), he suggested that the Iranian people had an opportunity to rid themselves of the genocidal regime that had oppressed them for 46 years. He made that call even more explicit yesterday, urging Iranians -- especially in Tehran -- to "revolt" against the Ayatollah and the IRGC. 

Even the symbolism Netanyahu chose speaks to regime change. The nominal reference in naming this war Operation Rising Lion is a quote from Numbers in calling the nation to arms. However, perhaps less appreciated is that Iranian flags prior to the mullahs featured a lion posing before the sun since the late Safavid era, starting in 1576. The Pahlavi shahs continued that tradition in their 54 years in power, but the mullahs threw out the leonine imagery when they seized power in the 1979 revolution. 

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"Operation Rising Lion" means something very specific to both Israelis and Iranians, and the Iranian people would likely recognize it. It's a call for both lions to rise up against the insane mullah cult that has subjugated a great people and is attempting to annihilate another great civilization. That regime attempted to kill the lion 46 years ago; Netanyahu is calling the lion to emerge now when the opportunity has finally come for it to reign. 

That brings us back to Tehran. Israel probably wanted to wait for Iran's reaction before striking targets within the population center that would be the most likely to succeed in pulling down the mullahs, whether to allow Trump some opening for talks or just to wait for more provocation. After all, it was pretty clear that the only offense that Iran can now muster with its proxies all but demolished would be ballistic missiles with limited targeting capabilities. The Iranian attack on Israeli population centers essentially made Tehran an even more legitimate target. 

But Israel has to be careful here too. They want to provoke an uprising, not fury that will rally the Iranian to the mullahs. The targets would have to be carefully selected to hit regime assets with as little collateral damage as possible, and/or the destruction of the economic infrastructure on which the mullahs rely for resources to wage war. And right now, it appears the Israelis are doing some of both, around Tehran and elsewhere. They have begun targeting IRGC-commanded law-enforcement leaders as well as Iran's oil industry:

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And thanks to their air superiority, the IDF has tracked "dozens" of ballistic missile launchers and destroyed them:

The Israel Air Force struck surface-to-surface missile launchers across Iran, the military announced on Sunday morning.

The IDF also released video documentation of the strike alongside its statement.

Other targets hit by the IAF in Iran include the Mehrabad Airport, which caught fire early on Saturday morning after explosions were heard in Tehran, according to Iranian media reports. Later, an Iranian official confirmed that the country's Fordow nuclear facility sustained limited damage following recent attacks.

Iran likely has hundreds of these launchers, but firing these missiles while the IDF patrols the skies will keep exposing more of them to destruction. That would be a slow process, however, and the Israelis want to end the ballistic missile threat as quickly as possible. The most reliable way to achieve that would be to end the regime that controls these weapons, and perhaps that may be the only way to accomplish that mission. 

That is why Tehran is no longer immune. And it's why Tehran shouldn't have been immune from the first strike. 

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Addendum: This is a tangent, but this video has been floating around for the last several hours on Twitter. It captures precisely the kind of Western arrogance in assessing the Middle East in presuming that all Arabs agree with Hamas and the Islamists. A group of activists tried to cross Egypt to force their way into Gaza to deliver "aid," and found out the hard way that Egyptians have no use for the Hamasniks on either side of the Philadelphi Corridor.

More on topic, here's a video from earlier today discussing the IDF's air superiority. This actually sounds more like air supremacy than air superiority, but this is a pretty interesting analysis otherwise.

Update: Benjamin Netanyahu has a new statement posted in the last 45 minutes thanking Trump, and wishing him and the US Army happy birthdays. Netanyahu also claimed that Iran planned to farm out nuclear weapons to its proxies, and that this war would prevent "nuclear terrorism on steroids":

Let's hope this actually stopped that process. There have been hints that Iran tried to develop a crude nuclear bomb in the last few weeks, just in case they couldn't talk their way out the corner that Ali Khamenei landed them. 

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Update: Here are a couple of videos of the demolition of ballistic launchers by the IDF. I was looking for this earlier but couldn't find it.

There are many more out there, presumably, but as the video points out, the missile inventory may already be depleted or inaccessible. The launchers can't do much without that inventory. 

Update: Chalk another big name off the Iranian regime board. State media has just confirmed that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's top advisor and right-hand man Ali Shamkhani got killed in a strike on a secret military center:

Shamkhani is the latest in a line of top military advisors, commanders, and other personnel killed in Israeli strikes on Iranian targets since early Friday morning. 

Shamkhani served as one of Iran's top military officials for decades, serving as defense minister between 1997 and 2005 and as secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council from 2013 to 2023.

The attack took place yesterday, not today, so it's not part of the latest missions by the IDF. This is beginning to look like a Hezbollah-esque destruction of the entire organization. And it's still in process. 

Update: There's more than one way to wake the sleeping lion of Persia:

Musk's decision to activate Starlink in Iran comes after the Islamic Republic's Communications Ministry announced temporary limits and disruptions to internet service nationwide.

"In view of the special conditions of the country, temporary restrictions have been imposed on the country's internet," a statement from the ministry read.

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Fax machines helped bring down the Iron Curtain. Perhaps Starlink can finally put an end to the psychopathic terror regime of the mullahs in Iran. 

Update: Speaking of an end to immunity ...

The Israelis also conducted what appears to be a warning strike on the regime's refinery in Bandar Abbas. That is right by the Straits of Hormuz, which Iran has repeatedly threatened to blockade in a full-out war. One wonders whether the Israelis were behind this warning, or if they were delivering a message from the US and the Sunni Arab states of the region. 

Update: Here's another interesting analysis from a YouTuber named Max Afterburner that looks closely at the military tech in this conflict. A former fighter pilot, he gives a very detailed breakout of Israeli and Iranian capabilities. He's not surprised at all by the results. This conflict makes Top Gun: Maverick look like the "junior varsity," he says at one point.


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David Strom 4:20 PM | July 18, 2025
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