Reports: Israel Raided IRGC Weapons-Development Base in Syria

Jack Guez/Pool Photo via AP

The Israelis are remaining mum on this, at least so far, and for good reason. Syrian media began reporting that an Iranian military base known to produce weapons for Hezbollah -- and suspected of developing chemical weapons -- mysteriously experienced a lot of boom-booms in the night. The Masyaf facility has been the target of IDF raids in the past, but this time the strike involved boots on the ground.

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Or so Syrian media outlets say, via Legal Insurrection:

Israeli special forces carried out a raid on an Iranian weapons facility in the Masyaf area in Syria earlier this week, according to a number of unconfirmed reports on Wednesday widely reported by Hebrew media.

A series of previously reported alleged Israeli strikes hit military sites in central Syria late Sunday, killing at least 14 people, wounding 43, and sparking fires. Local Syrian media reported at the time that the strikes hit a scientific research center in Masyaf, which has long been associated with the manufacture of chemical weapons and precision missiles by the Syrian regime and Iranian forces.

However, the fresh reports were the first to claim that Israeli troops operated on the ground during the action at Masyaf, which lies about 200 kilometers (124 miles) north of Israel, though only about 30 kilometers (18 miles) from Syria’s western coastline.

If true, this would be a massive humiliation to Iran and its leaders, although not quite as massive as the hit that took out Ismail Haniyeh right under the IRGC's noses in Tehran. The humiliation might get worse, too. Some reports claim that Israel captured key personnel at Masyaf and took them into custody:

The unprecedented Israeli operation in Syria reportedly included several steps: starting with intense airstrikes in the area after which Israeli forces infiltrated an Iranian military complex after lowering from helicopters to the ground and ending with troops seizing documents and arresting Iranians inside of the facility for questioning.

According to the report, clashes at the site led to the deaths of three Syrians and injured others. Two to four Iranians were reportedly captured by Israeli forces. Sources indicated the Syrian regime blocked rescue teams from reaching the area following the attack. 

The bodies of military casualties were taken to an undisclosed location and their fate is unknown, while wounded civilians were evacuated to Masyaf National Hospital. Sources also suggested the Syrian regime or elements within it may have facilitated the strike and troop deployment.

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That description doesn't quite make sense. How did they get the captured Iranians out of the facility if the helicopters didn't land? Why would they capture anyone at all? Destroying the facilities makes sense, and capturing the data, but taking prisoners complicates both the operation and the aftermath. 

Bear in mind that this is coming from Syrian media opposed to the Bashar al-Assad regime and his Iranian ally. Syria TV is based in Turkey, not Syria itself, and may have ulterior motives for either making the claim or exaggerating the scope of the operation. At any rate, they aren't near Masyaf, although that doesn't mean their reporters and/or sources aren't. Amichai Stein of Israeli public broadcasting hears two prisoners were taken but also gets that from Syrian opposition sources. 

Other sources report that the IDF did conduct a covert operation at Masyaf, although the capture of prisoners isn't mentioned in those reports:

Israeli ground forces targeted an Iranian missile production facility in Syria during a strike this week attributed to Israel, according to Middle East expert Eva J. Koulouriotis, who specializes in jihadist groups and cited a security source. Koulouriotis wrote on X that special Israeli forces entered the facility, removed equipment, and then destroyed the site. ...

According to Koulouriotis, the operation began with airstrikes on several roads leading to the facility, located approximately six kilometers southwest of Masyaf. A Syrian military headquarters was also targeted. Following the airstrikes, Israeli helicopters carrying special units approached the facility, supported by combat helicopters and drones, which were deployed to prevent reinforcements from reaching the area.

The operation reportedly lasted about an hour. Israeli special forces successfully entered the facility, removed key equipment and documents, rigged the site with explosives, and destroyed it, all while withdrawing under air cover.

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Whatever the details, it looks as though the Israeli government is turning its attention to Hezbollah now, while they mop up Hamas in Gaza. The extended evacuation of the north and the continuing attacks from Hezbollah have put enormous political pressure on Benjamin Netanyahu and his cabinet to change this status quo. The strike on Masyaf may be part of a new "scorched earth" campaign by Israel to put the same kind of pressure on the government in Beirut:

Israel is allegedly focusing its strikes on Lebanese areas that support Hezbollah but are not regularly involved with the terror group, the Lebanese newspaper Al-Nashra reported on Wednesday, citing anonymous security sources. Because of this, these areas do not receive aid or compensation from Hezbollah. The goal is to apply pressure and encourage internal opposition to the group within Lebanon.

"They cannot bear the burden of confronting Israel, neither financially nor logistically, as they struggle to find new housing and maintain daily life," the sources said.

According to the Lebanese newspaper, the IDF is targeting villages located further behind those near the border to increase pressure on the Lebanese government and fuel opposition to Hezbollah by destroying homes and displacing residents, thereby causing them to blame Hezbollah for supporting a decision made unilaterally in Gaza.

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Well, maybe. If Israel really wanted to go "scorched earth," they have other and more efficient ways to do so, the least of which would be to invade Lebanon and seize all the land south of the Litani. That might help keep Hezbollah from targeting the north, and it's very doubtful that they or the Lebanese government would have enough military to stop the IDF. 

Stay tuned, though. The main conflict may be about to shift from one border to the other. 

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