11:30 – Right now, it looks like we’re heading into a stall in Nevada (see below) and a lull in developments. We will all be back in the morning to cover any changes overnight in these races. In the meantime, John Sexton is still keeping up with the Western races and any other significant developments. Be sure to keep up there and to come back in the morning for more live blogging!

By the way, the RCP map shows the GOP up six so far in House races. Even if this isn’t the kind of red wave they’d envisioned (and that we’d envisioned too), it’s still almost certain to be a GOP-controlled House. And there’s still a chance for a Republican Senate, but the margin on that may be thin now.

10:58 – Interestingly, the NYT’s dashboard still shows a 73% chance of GOP control of the House and still shows the likeliest Senate outcome a 51/49 split for the GOP. It hasn’t budged at all during the evening.

10:55 – Aaaand there it is — NBC News calls it for Vance. It’s a hold — a good hold — but a hold that was long predicted. In this case, Vance and DeWine performed about how pollsters saw the race in the end.

10:51 – Just checking the Ohio Senate widget and it looks like Vance is pulling well ahead of Ryan. Might see a call on this soon, as 82% of precincts are reporting and Vance is up by about seven points.

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10:37 – I had forgotten about this, so we may need to revisit Nevada in the morning:

Or on Thursday:

10:34 – Looking nationally, Maggie Hassan apparently succeeded in executing the Akin Strategy in New Hampshire. DDHQ just made that call a few minutes ago. That limits the potential for a Senate majority, but it doesn’t eliminate it. Bolduc was an underdog, but he turned out to be more competitive than Democrats anticipated.

10:27 – CBS flags a potential upset in a CO House race — Lauren Boebert is trailing Democrat challenger Adam Frisch with 71% of the vote in:

10:07 – Not a great omen for the GOP in Virginia, where it appears Spanberger won her race.

9:49 – Good news for Republicans in Oklahoma, where Kevin Stitt will win re-election. Both NBC and ABC are calling that race. For much of the midterms, polling suggested Stitt would lose tonight.

9:36 – Well, that didn’t take long. NBC called the CO Senate race for Bennet too. Again, these were long shots for the GOP, so no one counted on these races in the first place, but it’s still disappointing. O’Dea ran as good a race as possible there.

9:32 – RCP shows five seats picked up by the GOP in the House, which would be barely enough to flip control. There are still 250 House races to call, however.

9:28: No surprise here at all, but Colorado’s being called for Polis. It would have taken an extinction-level event for Polis to lose. This bodes ill for Joe O’Dea and his bid to unseat Michael Bennet in the Senate race, but O’Dea was an underdog here anyway.

9:18: Good news in two Senate races — both Budd and Vance are now leading, per CNN:

9:06: New data in GA and NC shows Election Day votes getting counted now. Walker is actually up in GA (that could change still!) and Ted Budd is within a couple of points in NC. Same is happening to a lesser extent in Ohio for Vance. Be patient.

8:58: Speculative wave-watch out of VA:

VA-07 is an R+3 district, though. Spanberger won it from Dave Brat in 2018. A narrow GOP win may not mean as much as this posits.

8:46: Henry Olson makes the point about looking at the early-vote returns getting counted first:

Worth noting: The DeWine call was made even while DeWine slightly trailed the early-vote counts.

8:37: It’s early in Nevada, but Jon Ralston sees signs of a massive Republican wave there:

8:35 pm ET: Right now it looks pretty good for the GOP in Ohio. Nationally, though, the Senate picture looks murky. We’re seeing the early vote first in places like North Carolina, Georgia, and New Hampshire, but that North Carolina race looks worrisome. Follow updates on that one from Beege.

The NYT has its dashboard back, too. They show a 77% chance of GOP control of the House, and the Senate too close to call.

=====

Catch a wave, and you’re sitting on top of the world …

Will Republicans sing that Beach Boys song at the end of the evening? Will Democrats cry the blues as a red wave sweeps across the country? Both parties appear to expect that kind of outcome tonight, with Republicans getting more cheery and Democrats offering more excuses as the day wears on.

Tonight, I’ll cover races in Ohio, Nevada, and Colorado, as well as watch the overall results while live-blogging developments. In both states, all of their constitutional offices are up for grabs, but we’re mainly looking at the Senate races in both states and Nevada’s gubernatorial contest.

Here’s a briefing for readers on the status in these three states:

Ohio

Colorado 

Nevada

We can expect lots of drama, anyway, and perhaps a couple of surprises from these states. I’ll be live-blogging the developments, posting them to the top in reverse chronological order — latest update on top.

Don’t forget to scroll down, however, to keep up with election returns and results. I’ll have the national maps for House and Senate control, as well as the gubernatorial map, provided by our partner Decision Desk HQ. You’ll want to check back regularly for those results.

Let’s hope we all surf a red wave tonight!

 

And here are the trackers for the national results:

Don’t forget that we’re not just covering the midterms tonight but are preparing for the all-important 2024 presidential cycle as well. We need to make sure Democrats are one and done in the White House, too. If you want real in-depth analysis and exclusive content and wish to support the long-term mission, join HotAir VIP today and use promo code VIPWEEK to receive 45% off your membership!