Jasmine Crockett has been teasing a Senate run for several weeks. As absurd as it sounds on its face, she has a lot of good reasons to do more than toy with the idea to raise her profile.
Here career in politics might be over if she doesn't decide to run for higher office ASAP.
Given how "deep blue" her politics are, it's easy to forget that she represents a district in Texas, and with the recent redistricting, she isn't likely to have an easy time returning to her current seat.
Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-TX) makes it clear that she’s running for Senate from Texas now that it’s clear redistricting will push through.
— Paul A. Szypula 🇺🇸 (@Bubblebathgirl) November 23, 2025
Crockett’s political career is effectively over.
She can’t win a general election in Texas.pic.twitter.com/alznhwDBFQ
It's easy for us to scoff at the idea that a Senate run should be in her future. For the same reason why it's easy to forget she is from Texas—she is hardly your expected Texas representative—it's also easy to see that her chances for election to a statewide office is, shall we say, a long shot.
🚨 BREAKING: Jasmine Crockett announces she will most likely be running for U.S. Senate in Texas in 2026
— Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) November 30, 2025
Oh PLEASE do it, Crockett 🤣
In order to run, she’d have to forgo re-election in the House, and there’s NO CHANCE Texas sends ghetto trash like her to the Senate
“I am… pic.twitter.com/JJSFZnb5KX
In order to run, she’d have to forgo re-election in the House, and there’s NO CHANCE Texas sends ghetto trash like her to the Senate
“I am closer to YES than I am NO.”
This would be the end of Low IQ Jasmine Crockett.
She has until Dec. 8 to file.
Crockett surely knows that, although she probably thinks that lightning might strike if there is an economic crisis between now and next November. In general, it's a mistake to make big bets on unlikely or unpredictable events happening, but when your alternative is watching your future potentially go up in smoke, a small chance is better than no chance.
New - Senate primary winner - Texas (Odds)
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 30, 2025
🔵 Talarico 38%
🔵 Crockett 32%
🔵 Allred 30%
Polymarket pic.twitter.com/UznSDYHLZu
And that small chance may apply to a general election, but not so much the primary. Crockett actually has a very good chance of grabbing that brass ring. The Texas Democratic Party is obviously far to the left of the electorate—that's why Crockett hasn't much of a chance of winning a general election. That means Crockett's left-wing credentials aren't the handicap you would expect. Democrats are in a mood for a fighter, not a winner. And Jasmine Crockett's only credential is that she is as mean and as smart as a junkyard dog.
If Texas Dems actually nominate Jasmine Crockett, it’d be like if Republicans nominated MTG for senate, but in New York or Illinois instead of Georgia. Absolutely legendary stupidity, not even the 2022 GOP would’ve done something like this. https://t.co/di5kobIEBu
— Swag Jockey Fern (@GrantMa25066011) November 29, 2025
And losing a statewide race is not a bad move for a Democrat in Texas, where opportunities for acquiring actual power are as scarce as hen's teeth. As Beto O'Rourke shows, a loud but losing candidate can gain a lot of goodwill and career opportunities by taking one for the team.
Texas Democrats are all abuzz about the potential for Dallas Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett to run for U.S. Senate, the marquee race in Texas next year. Some analysts, Democrats and Republicans have told CBS News Texas that if she enters the race, it will provide a real jolt to the Democratic Primary and perhaps the general election.
Matthew Wilson, a political science professor at SMU in Dallas, told CBS News Texas, "All polling suggests she would be very competitive in the Democratic primary, that she would be a major contender for the Democratic nomination, and she certainly has a devoted following, not only in Texas, but nationally. So, I think she would be able to raise a decent amount of money to make a bid for that nomination."
If Crockett enters the statewide race, she will join former Dallas Congressman Colin Allred and State Representative James Talarico, of Austin, whose campaign has also attracted national attention.
Crockett already has a national profile, and a high-profile and big-money Senate campaign will bring her to the attention of big donors who are aware she exists, but who haven't yet placed big bets on her. She will also hone her campaign skills, which may raise her chances of entering the Vice Presidential sweepstakes for 2028.
Republicans are chortling about the prospect of Crockett becoming the next Democrat to lose a Senate race in Texas, but I don't think Crockett has her eyes on winning that race. As long as she doesn't crash and burn—and, as Jay Jones shows, every Democrat will crawl over broken glass to vote for even a horrific candidate—she will come out farther ahead by losing the Senate race than if she were to stay in Congress.
She could win more by losing a race for a higher office than if she were to retain her current seat.
Democrats are falling in love with radicals, and Crockett definitely fits that bill. It's not like she has a lot of opportunities in Texas politics anyway, so if she wants to move up she has to aim higher—national office, which means Vice President.
And since Democrats are obsessed with race and gender, Crockett is an obvious candidate for the short list for VP in any case. Learning how to raise $50 million for a Senate race will make her a lot more attractive than anybody more conventional, like Tim Walz.
In other words, don't expect Crockett to fall off the radar if and when she loses in 2026. She could be a fixture in Democratic politics for quite a while.
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